Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007070 0.008278 0.009718 0.011584 0.013980 0.017007 0.021212
2025-04-06 0.005387 0.006784 0.008635 0.011348 0.015382 0.021445 0.031892
2025-04-13 0.004606 0.006093 0.008212 0.011612 0.017282 0.027151 0.047985
2025-04-20 0.004178 0.005754 0.008140 0.012280 0.019951 0.035387 0.076095
2025-04-27 0.003813 0.005420 0.007975 0.012707 0.022325 0.044494 0.118320
2025-05-04 0.003452 0.005026 0.007624 0.012690 0.023798 0.052630 0.173318
2025-05-11 0.003159 0.004695 0.007315 0.012660 0.025226 0.061833 0.258571
2025-05-18 0.002879 0.004346 0.006913 0.012343 0.025857 0.069331 0.367045
2025-05-25 0.002606 0.003979 0.006425 0.011737 0.025532 0.073495 0.479368
2025-06-01 0.002393 0.003693 0.006051 0.011306 0.025551 0.079248 0.660508
2025-06-08 0.002282 0.003576 0.005981 0.011549 0.027628 0.096371 1.266093
2025-06-15 0.002147 0.003403 0.005781 0.011440 0.028601 0.109869 2.288390
2025-06-22 0.001975 0.003159 0.005436 0.010986 0.028545 0.119819 4.223583
2025-06-29 0.001841 0.002977 0.005201 0.010778 0.029350 0.138050 12.126641
2025-07-06 0.001760 0.002886 0.005145 0.011025 0.032028 0.178379 229.525564
2025-07-13 0.001715 0.002859 0.005218 0.011646 0.036724 0.259268 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001656 0.002799 0.005212 0.012044 0.040858 0.365798 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001577 0.002691 0.005079 0.012028 0.043044 0.467243 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001505 0.002589 0.004951 0.011999 0.045236 0.603269 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001424 0.002465 0.004753 0.011705 0.045761 0.713639 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001335 0.002318 0.004489 0.011141 0.044343 0.750215 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001263 0.002199 0.004284 0.010740 0.043791 0.830858 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001227 0.002157 0.004261 0.010966 0.047623 1.256806 NaN